As we highlighted a month ago, September has spelled trouble for stocks historically. Right on cue, the S&P 500 Index slumped 4.8% last month, its first monthly decline since January 2021. After such a strong rally since the pandemic low in March 2020 without so...
Dear Valued Investor, One constant in life is change. During the past year and a half, we have experienced more change than any of us bargained for. Change is disruptive—but also brings opportunities. For investors right now, there is no shortage of changes to think...
With the fourth quarter underway—historically the best quarter for stocks, by the way—2022 is fast approaching. While a lot can still happen between now and the end of 2021, we don’t think it’s too early to start thinking about what stocks might do next year. We see a...
LPL Research is downgrading its 2021 U.S. GDP growth forecast from 6.25–6.75% to 5.75 6.25%. Growth is likely to come in at an annualized pace near 5% over the second half of the year. So, while expectations have been tempered, the recovery still has a lot of...
Until recently, we expected the 10-year Treasury yield to end the year between 1.75% and 2.0%. Now, however, there are two key elements suggesting we are unlikely to see significantly higher interest rates by year end: The Delta variant’s impact on economic growth...
